Omicron wave likely to subside by March: Experts – ET HealthWorld

Omicron wave likely to subside by March: Experts – ET HealthWorld

Omicron wave likely to subside by March: ExpertsThe current highly transmissible Omicron-fuelled wave of Covid-19 will likely abate by March, some public health experts say.”It (the spread) should be much faster than Delta,” said Anurag Agrawal, chair, WHO‘s technical advisory group on SARS-CoV-2 virus evolution.

In the last few days there has been a steep increase in cases. In view of Omicron’s explosive spread, experts say the threat level is currently very high, especially in regions with low population immunity.

On Thursday, India added more than 2.6 lakh new cases of Covid-19, the highest single-day rise during the ongoing third wave. Active cases presently stand at 1,270,466. According to the data shared by the health ministry, the weekly positivity rate in the country stands at 10.80% and the daily rate at 13.11%.

India has so far reported 5,580 Omicron cases. “Despite India being a large country, I would expect this wave to have mostly passed by March,” Agrawal added. While Mumbai is witnessing a drop in the number of cases between January 8-11 before the trend reversed on January 12, senior epidemiologist Giridhara Babu said that it’s too early to say that the virus has started to ebb.

He said it is early to say if Mumbai has already peaked. “I would like to observe the data for another week, especially after restrictions are taken off. Due to the strict guidelines, people who are at home are protected from infection. The transmission might vary once the restrictions are taken off,” he said.

“The rapid rise and decline are features of outbreaks due to Omicron. The data from South Africa and the UK suggest the same,” he said. Agrawal expects that after spreading in metros, it will spread outwards to rural areas.

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